Progressive Shares Drop After Q3 Results Fall Short of Forecasts

Progressive Corporation (NYSE:PGR) saw its stock slide 4.3% in premarket trading on Wednesday after reporting third-quarter earnings and revenue that missed Wall Street expectations, dampening investor sentiment toward the insurer.

The Ohio-based company posted adjusted earnings of $4.45 per share for the quarter ended September 30, well below the analyst consensus of $5.05. Revenue came in at $21.38 billion, shy of the expected $21.8 billion but still up 10% from the $19.46 billion reported a year earlier.

Progressive’s combined ratio worsened slightly to 89.5%, compared to 89.0% in the same period last year. The September monthly combined ratio hit 100.4%, reflecting higher claims costs during the month.

The company did, however, continue to see policy growth. Total policies in force rose 12% year-over-year to 38.1 million, with personal auto policies increasing 13% through its agency channel and 17% through its direct channel.

Net income climbed 12% year-over-year to $2.62 billion, even as monthly net income in September dropped 48% from the prior year. Special lines and property insurance policies rose 8% and 6%, respectively, while the commercial lines segment — which includes business auto insurance — posted a 6% increase in policies compared to the third quarter of 2024.

Progressive Corp stock price

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